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A) "Independent" state of Novorussia becomes puppet of Union State, Crimea is annexed
B) Whole state of Novorussia + Crimea are annexed by the Union State
*In this case pro-Western rest of Ukraine will joins EU and NATO, nevertheless the country will be poor, as industrial base and most of resources will be in Russian hands
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C) Ukraine remains de-facto independent, but with Russian puppet government
D) Whole Ukraine is annexed by the Union State
*in this option expect mass resistance in Western and Central Ukraine, as well as prolonged guerilla warfare.