A New Beginning - Our 1992 Russian Federation

[Matador de Lagartos]

So, what is our official policy on North Korea again?

We shouldn't support Kim's nuclear program. I'm no saying he is the mad dog that Western Media likes to pretend (but who knows, perhaps he is), but he is a dangerous actor with an extremely bad rep and letting him have nukes undermines our influence over the Far East. It's up to your interpretation if OTL Russia had anything to do with the North Korean nuclear weapons programs.

Nonetheless, my understanding is that having American troops close to Vladivostok would be a non starter, so we ought to not undermine North Korea. If there's a chance to foster some alternative non-Kim leader after Kim Jong Il dies, then we should explore this possibility as long as we make it together with the Chinese. A reformist guided North Korea could moderately thrive under the umbrella of the Union State and China, cleaning a major thorn on the anti-West camp as well as creating large commercial opportunities for the Union State.

 

[Fratsup]

I was going to write on how we supported North Korea purely in terms of food aid and potentially infrastructure development in the hopes of gaining access to their resources but I am unsure of how realistic this would be.

 

[panpiotr]

I was going to write on how we supported North Korea purely in terms of food aid and potentially infrastructure development in the hopes of gaining access to their resources but I am unsure of how realistic this would be.

You can write that we supported them in hopes of gaining access to their resources, but Kim cheated us China got the access on our cost.

 

[panpiotr]

In next chapter I will focus very much on 1st term of Nabiullina as Prime Minister, hopefully that is fine by you?

 

[Ajobek]

You can write that we supported them in hopes of gaining access to their resources, but Kim cheated us China got the access on our cost.

I do not think that North Korea will cheat the stronger Russia, before fall of USSR there were more Pro-Soviet than Pro-Chinese. Here Russia is not abounding their position in Asia, and it is highly likely that North Korea will try to balance between Russia and China and get themselves a better deals. There are actually chances that disparity between two Koreas here will be closer to disparity between two Germanies if they will have government like modern day Vietnam.

 

[panpiotr]

In the early 21st century, the geopolitical landscape witnesses the simultaneous rise of two major powers—China and Russia. The dynamics between these nations become a critical focal point in global affairs, especially as Russia experiences a resurgent phase under the leadership of President Alexander Lukashenko. China, itself undergoing rapid economic growth and asserting its influence in Asia, observes this resurgence with a nuanced perspective that blends strategic calculations, shared interests, and considerations for regional stability.

1. Strategic Partnership and Mutual Interests:
At the core of China's perceptions lies the recognition of a resurgent Russia as a valuable strategic partner. Both nations share common interests, particularly in countering what they perceive as Western dominance in global affairs. The alignment of their geopolitical goals forms the foundation for a robust alliance. The economic dynamism demonstrated by Russia under Lukashenko's leadership offers avenues for collaboration. Energy cooperation, technological partnerships, and joint initiatives in various sectors become the pillars of a mutually beneficial relationship, contributing to the shaping of a multipolar world order.

2. Geopolitical Balancing Act:
China, ascending as a global power in its own right, views a resurgent Russia as a crucial player in the geopolitical balancing act. The strategic alignment between the two nations presents a counterbalance to the influence of Western powers. Together, they strive to foster a more multipolar global order, challenging the traditional hegemony of a few dominant nations. Recognizing the significance of their partnership in shaping global power dynamics, both China and Russia engage in joint diplomatic efforts. This collaboration extends beyond bilateral relations, influencing international forums and contributing to the emergence of a more diverse and inclusive geopolitical landscape.

3. Regional Stability and Shared Borders:
China, mindful of its expansive borders with Russia, places a premium on regional stability. The resurgent Russia is perceived as a crucial player in maintaining equilibrium and security along the vast Sino-Russian border. Collaborative efforts in areas such as counterterrorism, border security, and economic development are seen as essential for fostering stability. The relationship between China and Russia extends beyond a strategic alliance to encompass practical measures ensuring peace and security in their shared neighborhood.

4. Energy Cooperation and Economic Synergy:
Economic considerations play a pivotal role in China's perceptions of a resurgent Russia. The energy sector becomes a focal point for collaboration, with Russia emerging as a significant supplier of oil and gas to China's growing economy. Joint ventures and infrastructure projects, including the construction of oil and gas pipelines, not only secure China's energy needs but also contribute to the economic growth of both nations. The economic synergy generated by their collaboration reinforces the strategic partnership and establishes a framework for sustained development.

5. Technological Collaboration and Innovation:
In the realm of technological advancements, China recognizes the potential for collaboration with a resurgent Russia. Both nations, investing heavily in science, space exploration, and cutting-edge technologies, find common ground in their pursuit of innovation. Shared research projects, collaborative initiatives in space exploration, and the exchange of technological expertise create a dynamic environment for scientific progress. This collaborative approach positions both China and Russia as formidable players in the global technological landscape.

6. Global Diplomacy and Multipolar Vision:
Diplomatically, China views Russia as a key partner in promoting a multipolar world order. Joint initiatives in international forums, including the United Nations and BRICS, underscore their commitment to reshaping global governance structures. As advocates for a more inclusive and balanced global order, China and Russia collaborate to challenge unilateral approaches and advocate for the representation of diverse perspectives in international decision-making. This shared vision enhances their influence in shaping the future direction of global affairs.

7. Challenges and Diplomatic Agility:
China's approach to the resurgent Russia is marked by diplomatic agility. While recognizing the potential benefits of their strategic alliance, China remains attentive to emerging challenges and shifts in the global geopolitical landscape. Diplomatic dialogues, flexibility in negotiations, and strategic adjustments characterize China's engagement with Russia. The ability to navigate complexities and adapt to changing circumstances ensures that the partnership remains resilient and capable of addressing emerging challenges.

8. Conclusion:
China's perceptions of a resurgent Russia in 2002 reflect a nuanced understanding of shared interests, geopolitical balancing, and a commitment to a multipolar world order. The Sino-Russian partnership is multi-faceted, encompassing strategic collaboration, economic synergy, and cultural exchanges. The evolving dynamics between these two nations not only contribute to shaping the geopolitical narrative of Asia but also influence the broader trajectory of global affairs. As they navigate the complexities of a rapidly changing world, the strategic alliance between China and a resurgent Russia emerges as a pivotal force in defining the contours of 21st-century geopolitics.

 

[panpiotr]

This is a short summary on how Russia is perceived by China. I want to explore some topics with such summaries, which won't be included in proper chapters. Please let me know, what do you think?

 

[panpiotr]

I have like 3 or 4 more such short summaries ready to be published.

 

[panpiotr]

Russia in 2002 stands as a quickly growing powerhouse, swiftly transcending traditional paradigms and propelling itself into a new era of prosperity. The multifaceted economic impact of this rapid development reverberates across domestic and international landscapes, reshaping industries, fostering innovation, and leaving an indelible mark on the global economic narrative.

1. Economic Diversification and Innovation:
At the heart of Russia's economic renaissance is a deliberate push towards diversification. The government's strategic vision, coupled with the technocratic program led by Prime Minister Elvira Nabiullina, has successfully steered the nation away from over-reliance on oil and gas revenues. The result is a dynamic and diversified economy, with burgeoning sectors in technology, manufacturing, and services. Innovations driven by the technocratic agenda have positioned Russia as a potential global hub for technological advancements. The nation is at the forefront of cutting-edge research and development, attracting talent and investment from around the world.

2. Global Trade and Investment Magnet:
Russia's economic vibrancy has turned the nation into a magnet for global trade and investment. Foreign businesses, enticed by the expanding market and opportunities in innovative sectors, are establishing a robust presence in the country. Bilateral trade agreements and international partnerships flourish, contributing to a thriving global economic network. The nation's economic success is reshaping the dynamics of global trade, with Russia emerging as a pivotal player, offering stability and growth in an otherwise uncertain international economic environment.

3. Job Creation and Social Welfare:
Economic growth is not merely a statistical indicator, but a tangible force transforming the lives of ordinary Russians. Job creation in emerging industries and established sectors alike has led to a significant reduction in unemployment rates. Social welfare programs, underlining the left-wing nationalist ethos, ensure that the benefits of economic growth are felt across diverse segments of society. The government's commitment to social welfare and inclusive economic policies has garnered praise domestically and drawn the attention of international observers, impressed by Russia's dual focus on economic dynamism and social equity.

4. Infrastructure Boom and Urban Renaissance:
A surge in economic activity has catalyzed an infrastructure boom, transforming the urban landscape. Modernization projects, including state-of-the-art transportation networks, smart cities, and technological hubs, are propelling Russia into a new era of connectivity and efficiency. The urban renaissance is not only enhancing the quality of life for citizens, but also positioning Russian cities as beacons of progress, attracting talent and fostering a vibrant cultural scene.

5. Technological Advancements and Global Competitiveness:
Russia's commitment to technological advancements is catapulting the nation into global competitiveness. The tech sector, driven by investments in robotics, biotechnology, and information technology, is becoming a powerhouse of innovation. International recognition of Russia's technological prowess is fueling collaborations with global tech giants and research institutions, contributing to a narrative of Russia as a leading force in the Fourth Industrial Revolution.

6. Challenges and Sustainable Development:
While celebrating the economic triumphs, attention is turned towards the challenges associated with rapid growth. The government, cognizant of the importance of sustainable development, is actively addressing environmental concerns, ensuring that economic prosperity is not at the expense of ecological integrity. International discussions acknowledge Russia's commitment to striking a balance between economic progress and environmental responsibility, positioning the nation as a responsible global actor.

7. Impact on Global Economic Dynamics:
The economic impact of Russia's swift development is reverberating globally. As a major player in international trade, Russia is influencing global economic dynamics, contributing to a more multipolar world. The nation's resilience and adaptability amid geopolitical shifts are being closely watched by economists and policymakers worldwide. Russia's economic ascent is triggering a reassessment of global economic strategies, with nations adjusting their approaches to accommodate the emerging economic giant.

8. Conclusion:
Russia's economic renaissance in 2002 is not just a national phenomenon but a transformative force with far-reaching global implications. The convergence of a strategic vision, innovative policies, and societal inclusivity has positioned Russia as an economic powerhouse, shaping the narrative of the early 21st century. The impacts of this swift development extend beyond borders, contributing to a new era of economic multipolarity and redefining the contours of global economic interdependence.

 

[Fratsup]

Beyond strategic and economic considerations, China's perceptions of Russia are influenced by historical and cultural connections. Cultural exchanges and people-to-people interactions are viewed as essential elements in fostering a deeper understanding and trust between the two nations. Appreciating their shared cultural heritage, both nations actively promote cultural initiatives, artistic exchanges, and educational programs. These efforts contribute to the creation of a positive and enduring narrative in Sino-Russian relations.

I do question this part since Russian and China had a lack of overt cultural exchange due to China's control making such exchange difficult. I can see it happen with official events but pop-culture is likely going to be a no go until say 2008 and later when China started to grow its international cultural footprint and even then it would still deal with its own problems of censorship and government control.

 

[panpiotr]

In the geopolitical landscape of 2002, U.S. President George W. Bush navigates the complex dynamics of international relations, with a keen eye on the resurgent Russia under the leadership of President Alexander Lukashenko. As the global order undergoes transformations, President Bush's perceptions of Russia are shaped by a blend of strategic considerations, historical context, and regional security concerns.

1. Realpolitik and National Interest:
President Bush, grounded in a realpolitik approach to international affairs, views Russia's resurgence through the lens of U.S. national interest. The economic dynamism and military strength exhibited by Russia are recognized as factors that could potentially challenge U.S. influence and strategic objectives in key regions. Pragmatism underscores the assessment of Russia's role, with an acknowledgment of the need for strategic engagement while safeguarding American interests and alliances.

2. Historical Context and Diplomatic Relations:
The history of U.S.-Russia relations, marked by periods of cooperation and contention, informs President Bush's approach. While recognizing the importance of diplomatic engagement, the President remains mindful of historical complexities, including Cold War legacies. Bush seeks to balance cooperation where interests align with a firm commitment to addressing areas of divergence, ensuring that the bilateral relationship is characterized by mutual respect and a pursuit of shared goals.

3. Security Concerns and Global Stability:
Russia's military ascendancy raises security concerns for the U.S. President Bush is attentive to the potential implications of a more assertive Russia on global stability, particularly in regions where U.S. interests are at stake. The President engages in diplomatic channels to address security concerns, emphasizing the importance of maintaining a balance of power that promotes peace and stability on the world stage.

4. NATO Expansion and Regional Influence:
President Bush is cognizant of Russia's regional influence, especially in Eastern Europe. The expansion of NATO and the inclusion of former Soviet bloc nations in the alliance are viewed as measures to counterbalance Russia's influence and provide security assurances to nations in the region. The President sees NATO expansion as a strategic move to promote stability and democracy, aligning with U.S. interests in fostering a Europe that is whole, free, and at peace.

5. Economic Competitiveness and Trade Relations:
The economic dynamism of Russia captures President Bush's attention, prompting a recalibration of economic strategies. While recognizing the potential benefits of trade and economic engagement, the President seeks to leverage economic relations to ensure fair practices and safeguard American industries. Bush's administration explores avenues for economic collaboration where interests align, while simultaneously maintaining a watchful eye on any potential challenges to U.S. economic competitiveness.

6. Multilateral Engagement and Strategic Alliances:
The administration pursues a multilateral approach to managing Russia's resurgence, engaging with key allies and regional partners. The President recognizes the importance of building strategic alliances that can collectively address challenges posed by a resurgent Russia. The emphasis is on collaborative diplomatic efforts to shape a global order that aligns with democratic principles, promotes peace, and safeguards the interests of the United States and its allies.

7. Conclusion:
President George W. Bush's perceptions of Russia in 2002 are nuanced, reflecting a pragmatic and strategic assessment of the nation's resurgence. While acknowledging Russia's role as a significant global player, the President adopts a multifaceted approach, balancing diplomatic engagement, economic considerations, and security concerns to safeguard U.S. interests and promote stability on the world stage. The dynamics of U.S.-Russia relations under President Bush's leadership are a pivotal aspect of the evolving geopolitical landscape, where managing the resurgent Russia becomes an intricate dance of diplomacy, security strategy, and economic pragmatism.

 

[panpiotr]

I do question this part since Russian and China had a lack of overt cultural exchange due to China's control making such exchange difficult. I can see it happen with official events but pop-culture is likely going to be a no go until say 2008 and later when China started to grow its international cultural footprint and even then it would still deal with its own problems of censorship and government control.

Ok, I will delete this part.

 

[Fratsup]

I do not think its wrong per say but you should make it clear this are official events supported by the government and not say an exchange of pop-culture.

 

[panpiotr]

I do not think its wrong per say but you should make it clear this are official events supported by the government and not say an exchange of pop-culture.

No you were right, its too early for that. Maybe in like 5 or 10 years.

 

[panpiotr]

I deleted part about Bush promoting democracy in Russia, as I forgot that we have democracy

 

[panpiotr]

France finds itself at a geopolitical crossroads, strategically seeking to harness the resurgence of Russia as a means to recalibrate the power dynamics within Europe. This intricate dance of diplomacy involves leveraging Russian influence to counterbalance both American and German dominance, reshaping the contours of European geopolitics. In this nuanced diplomatic strategy, France aims not only to safeguard its own interests but also to assert a more prominent role in shaping the future of the European Union.

1. Historical Context and Shifting Alliances:

• The historical ties between France and Russia have seen moments of collaboration, especially during times of shared geopolitical interests. Currently, the post-Cold War era presents a unique opportunity for France to recalibrate its alliances and position itself strategically in the European theater.
• The reunification of Germany and the expansion of NATO have led France to reassess its traditional alliances. With an eye on a resurgent Russia, France sees an opportunity to pivot strategically and influence the evolving power dynamics within Europe.

2. Geopolitical Calculations: France's Vision for a Multipolar Europe:

• France, aiming for a more multipolar European order, strategically views resurgent Russia as a key player in this recalibration. The vision is to create a European landscape where power is more evenly distributed, reducing the dominance of any single nation, including Germany, and challenging the overwhelming influence of the United States.
• By aligning with a resurgent Russia, France seeks to introduce a counterbalance that would enable it to assert its own interests and shape the direction of the European Union more autonomously.

3. Countering American Influence:

• One of the primary objectives of France's strategy is to counterbalance American influence in Europe. The United States, as a dominant force within NATO and a key player in shaping European security policies, has often been a decisive factor in the geopolitical landscape.
• France, seeking to assert its own strategic autonomy, recognizes that aligning with resurgent Russia provides an opportunity to introduce a counterweight to American influence, thereby increasing its own diplomatic maneuverability.

4. Strategic Military Cooperation:

• France sees potential in establishing strategic military cooperation with resurgent Russia. Joint military exercises, intelligence sharing, and collaborative efforts in addressing regional security challenges become pivotal components of this partnership.
• The goal is not to challenge existing security structures but to create a more inclusive approach that accommodates the interests of both France and Russia, fostering stability and reducing dependency on external actors.

5. Economic Collaboration for Mutual Growth:

• Economic collaboration stands at the forefront of France's strategy. Recognizing the economic dynamism of a resurgent Russia, France positions itself as a major investor and partner in Russia's modernization efforts.
• Joint economic projects, technological exchanges, and investments become conduits for mutual growth, enhancing both nations' positions in the global economic landscape.

6. Balancing German Dominance:

• Another dimension of France's strategy is to balance the dominant role of Germany in European affairs. The reunification of Germany and its subsequent economic and political ascendance have solidified its position as a central player in shaping the future of the European Union.
• France, by aligning with resurgent Russia, aims to introduce a strategic counterbalance that prevents any single nation, including Germany, from wielding disproportionate influence in European decision-making processes.

7. Diplomatic Maneuvering within the European Union:

• Within the European Union, France engages in diplomatic maneuvering to garner support for its vision of a more multipolar Europe. Collaborating with like-minded nations and subtly influencing policy discourse, France aims to shape the direction of European integration.
• Resurgent Russia becomes a key diplomatic ally in this endeavor, with both nations working to foster a shared understanding of the benefits of a multipolar European order that accommodates the interests of all member states.

8. Energy Cooperation as a Diplomatic Tool:

• Recognizing Russia's role as a major energy player, France strategically engages in energy cooperation to secure geopolitical leverage. Collaborative projects in the energy sector, including joint ventures and investments, provide France not only with a diversified energy supply but also a means to exert influence in the geopolitical arena.
• Energy cooperation becomes a diplomatic tool, allowing France to strengthen its position in negotiations and discussions within European forums.

9. Cultural and Educational Exchanges:

• France recognizes the importance of fostering cultural and educational exchanges with resurgent Russia. People-to-people ties play a crucial role in building a positive narrative around the diplomatic relationship, fostering mutual understanding and trust.
• Educational programs, artistic exchanges, and cultural initiatives contribute to creating a shared narrative that transcends political maneuvering, promoting a more enduring and robust partnership.

10. Navigating Geopolitical Challenges:

• France, in aligning with resurgent Russia, navigates the geopolitical challenges that arise. The delicate balance of maintaining relationships with traditional allies while forging new partnerships requires diplomatic finesse.

11. Global Influence and Multipolar Vision:

• France's pursuit of a closer relationship with resurgent Russia aligns with its vision of a multipolar world order. This collaboration extends beyond the confines of Europe, positioning both nations as advocates for a more inclusive and balanced global system.

12. Public Perception and National Identity:

• Public sentiment in France is influenced by the government's strategic alignment with resurgent Russia. The narrative presented to the public emphasizes the importance of forging new partnerships to safeguard France's strategic autonomy and create a more balanced European and global order.

13. Future Prospects and Challenges:

• The France-Russia partnership in 2002, with its emphasis on leveraging Russian influence to counterbalance American and German dominance, presents both opportunities and challenges. The success of this diplomatic strategy hinges on France's ability to maintain delicate balances, navigate evolving geopolitical dynamics, and garner support from within the European Union.

 

[panpiotr]

Ok, this is the last one for today. I wanted to do such summaries, to avoid posting walls of text. Please let me know, what you really think about this format of updates.

 

[Fratsup]

Pretty great all around. Good job.

 

[panpiotr]

Pretty great all around. Good job.

Thanks!

 

[Kriss]

I do question this part since Russian and China had a lack of overt cultural exchange due to China's control making such exchange difficult. I can see it happen with official events but pop-culture is likely going to be a no go until say 2008 and later when China started to grow its international cultural footprint and even then it would still deal with its own problems of censorship and government control.

Ok, I will delete this part.

Technically this could be end plan for China and its not like they didn't work towards this otl as " the Russian-Chinese Foundation for the Development of Culture and Education" was founded in 2001 together with some other organizations with aims of cultural exchange and 2006 - 2007 were the Year of Russia in China and the Year of China in Russia. Basically they did advance cultural exchange between each other's the moment they signed The Treaty of Good-Neighborliness and Friendly Cooperation and China isn't really as closed as people tend to believe given that it already opened up to the West. We should simply view this as a part of wider diplomatic packet.

So i would say that @panpiotr got that part right.