Indonesia ATL: The Presidency of Try Sutrisno (1997-)

It was already getting late when a tired-looking but very much happy Chairman of the PKPI’s MPR Delegation Harsudiono Hartas and Co-Secretaries of the PKPI’s MPR Delegation Sarwono Kusumaatdja and Siswono Yudohusodo emerged out of the Presidential Palace for a press conference after a meeting with President Try Sutrisno. Harsudiono said that the President feels honored that the MPR has entrusted him with another mandate to lead but that he will have further to say at his inauguration on 11th March 2003.

On the matter of the vice-presidential elections, Harsudiono announced that the President has confirmed that he would like to see Vice President JB Sumarlin re-elected as well and has instructed the PKPI Delegation in the MPR to ensure that this will be the case.
Let's hope so.

For the second time in a few days, the PPP’s Hamzah Haz had to suffer the indignity of checking out of a hotel because the MPR Delegation staying in said hotel no longer wanted him there. He and his followers were seen leaving the Grand Hyatt where the PKPB was staying on a bus, guided by a staff member from the MPR Secretariat.

“My colleagues and I have kept our end of the deal and have voted for the Chairwoman of the PKPB in all the rounds of voting”, Hamzah said to the press before getting on the bus “We’re not responsible for what has happened.”

Hamzah and his supporters were checked into to Borobudur Hotel where the Group Delegates’ were staying. Hamzah had just received his hotel key card and was looking for the elevator when two men sitting in the lobby came and asked Hamzah to join them. It turned out to the Group Delegates’ Ginandjar Kartasasmita and Amien Rais; Hamzah sat in on their admittedly intriguing discussion about what they were planning for the vice-presidential election. The only sour point for Hamzah was that the two took it for granted that the PKPB’s claim that he had switched back to voting for the President was true,
Bruh, got ditched immediately by Tutut, eh?

making the argument that wanting the President to be re-elected was not synonymous with wishing the same thing for the Vice President.
.... I knew it.

10th March 2003:
Ginandjar graced the screens of the TVRI this morning as he appeared on an interview. When asked about his “turbulent” day yesterday, which saw him being dismissed from his position as minister of foreign affairs, Ginandjar was being good-natured about it. He congratulated the President on the latter’s re-election and said that it was the President’s prerogative to make such appointments and removals.

When asked what he would do next given that there was still slightly more than a day left in the MPR General Session, Ginandjar was coy and said that he did not want to “get ahead of the others”.
Yeah, i definitely knew it.

Looking small in his chair, Vice President JB Sumarlin listened on as Harsudiono read out that the joint delegation was there that day out of the realization that all the achievements of the past five years are possible because it was built on the strong base of economic policy and that Sumarlin’s expertise in economics have been “essential” for such an economic policy. With that in mind, they “Hereby ask you, Prof. Drs. JB Sumarlin M.A., Ph.D, the Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia currently holding office, for your willingness to be nominated for another term as Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia?”

Sumarlin stood up, looking solemn.

“With the trust and support of both the President and this coalition, I accept the nomination for the office of Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia”, Sumarlin said.
Go, Sumarlin!

The footage of Sumarlin accepting the PKPI, the PPP, and the Regional Delegates’ nomination for the vice presidency was broadcast split screen on the nation’s television screens with another event happening simultaneously.

At the MPR Building, Chairwoman of the PKPB Tutut Soeharto, Chairman of the PKPB’s MPR Delegation Prabowo Subianto, Secretary of the PKPB ZA Maulani, Treasurer of the PKPB Akbar Tandjung was seen emerging out of the office of the Chairman of the MPR Matori Abdul Djalil. Tutut was still smiling though thought of the previous day’s events made the smile seemed forced.

Mbak Tutut, will you also be nominating for the vice presidency?” asked the press.

“I certainly will not, I think I have had enough of political contests for now”, Tutut said “In my meeting yesterday with Kang Ginandjar Kartasasmita, I told him that in the case of my election as president, I wanted him to be vice president and I will supporting him should he nominate. Obviously, my part of the equation did not pan out well…”

Some laughter among the press. Tutut laughed along but once again, her laughter seemed forced.

“…but it is Kang Ginandjar’s intention to nominate for this office and it is my intention to honor this commitment even though I had not been elected to the office I had sought election for”, Tutut said “Therefore the PKPB will be nominating Ginandjar Kartasasmita for vice president.”
Yep. Well, at least it's not Gus Dur (so my conscience would be clear) or Hartono (which would guarantee that only PKPB who would supported him). This would be a tough fight too, and Idham Chalid was right. Try's weakness is the VP position, and Try has pretty much relied on Sumarlin on the "beneath notice" (but just as important) matters.

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The PNI key persons meeting attended by Chairwoman of the PNI Megawati Soekarnoputri, Chairman of the PNI’s MPR Delegation/Secretary of the PNI Sutjipto, Treasurer of the PNI Laksamana Sukardi, Megawati’s husband, Taufiq Kiemas, and Kwik Kian Gie. Still demoralized that their “long shot” had not worked, the meeting to discuss the PNI’s stance in the vice-presidential elections quickly turned ugly.

Laksamana Sukardi pointed out that the PNI’s stance should either be to nominate a vice-presidential candidate or to support an existing vice-presidential candidate instead of trying to play “4D chess” and failing. Taufiq angrily asked “What the hell’s that supposed to mean?” and a shouting match ensued.
Hahahahahaha..... I imagined that Sukardi said the exact word (15 years too early) and making Taufiq Kiemas' bafflement appropriate.

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Chairman of the MPR/Chairman of the PPP Matori Abdul Djalil had intended to have lunch by himself but the person who called and asked to be his lunch buddy piqued his interest. Thus it was that Matori came to have lunch with Hamzah. Hamzah complained at length about “the way” he was treated. He had voted for Tutut for three consecutive rounds but they became “unfriendly” when he failed to get any extra PPP votes for Tutut ahead of the third round of voting. And then after Tutut’s defeat, the PKPB accused him of switching back to the President and called him the “Trojan horse the President had planted” before telling him to pack up.

“So in other words, you want to switch sides for real…”, Matori said “I mean, it’ll be great to have another few more votes for the Vice President’s re-election, it’s just that you will be supporting the Vice President days after you told a PPP meeting that you will not be supporting the President if it meant that he will be choosing the Vice President for another term.”

Hamzah was quiet.

“I realize that, Mr. Chairman”, Hamzah said as though in the middle of a difficult dilemma “There would have to be a compelling reason for me and supporters to switch back that makes supporting the Vice President’s re-election more palatable…”

Matori was amazed at how Hamzah had nowhere else to go but back into the President’s coalition but was still bargaining to get a bone thrown his way.
Truly a politician Hamzah is.

But then again there’s an opportunity here to be seized and he made Hamzah an offer.

After lunch, Matori together with Chairman of the PPP’s MPR Delegation Zarkasih Nur and Secretary of the PPP’s MPR Delegation Jusuf Rizal Tjokroaminoto went to the Presidential Palace to meet the President who was accompanied by Vice Chairman of the MPR/Chairman of the PKPI Basofi Sudirman, Harsudiono Hartas, Sarwono Kusumaatmadja, Siswono Yudohusodo, and Edi Sudrajat. Matori explained what went down at lunchtime with Hamzah to the meeting.

“You offered him the chairmanship of the BPK?” asked the President.

“I did, Mr. President”, replied Matori “From a technical standpoint, Hamzah has made a reputation for himself in the DPR as someone interested in scrutinizing the budget and the state’s finances, the chairmanship of the BPK not only gives him an elevated office but is a natural progression of those interests. Of course, he was up to take the chairmanship of the BPK last year but we blocked it because the PKPB nominated him to that position to try to put a wedge between our two parties.”

“Hang on, Mr. Chairman”, Edi said “The PKPB no longer want him, he’s looking for refuge but he’s the one that we have to to offer something to?”

“At first I thought like that”, Matori replied “But then I saw this as an opportunity to get some votes and kick Hamzah upstairs so he could no longer bother us.”

“It has the additional benefit of helping keep Akbar hidden as well”, Sarwono interjected, speaking of Akbar Tandjung “By blaming Hamzah as part of the reason for Tutut’s defeat, the PKPB’s suspicions are not directed in Akbar’s direction. And if we want him to eventually be the chairman of the PKPB, he and his supporters who has voted for the President need to remain beyond suspicion until it can no longer be hidden. One way to do that is to keep Hamzah from running around telling people it wasn’t his fault Tutut lost and getting people to start getting ideas.”

All in the room turned to the President who was thinking it through.

“All right, the chairmanship of the BPK in exchange for Hamzah and his supporters’ return to our coalition”, the President said “But I must say here and now, that I don’t want the jockeying and maneuvering and disgruntlement must stop. If things don’t turn out the way the PPP expected them to in the new cabinet, they need to remember they’re going to have 2 members heading 2 major state institutions. I don’t want them sharpening their knives behind me for the next 5 years. The PPP must fall in line.”
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Hamzah Haz’ reputation outside of his political maneuverings is as the PPP’s guy when it comes to National Budget issues (https://web.archive.org/web/20110208165028/http://www.tokoh-indonesia.com/ensiklopedi/h/hamzah-haz/index.shtml). His portrayal ITTL is because I think based on seeing him in OTL, he’s not so much a bad guy as an opportunist. He was against female presidents in 1999 but ended up being Megawati’s VP in 2001 and quite okay with that.
I mean, yeah, fair enough.... The Executive Branch's strength is still quite good compared to the Examination's, and if there is a possible embezzlement, it would be appropriate if the job is reserved for someone like Hamzah.

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The MPR met again that late afternoon though not only enough delegates attended from all the delegations to meet the quorum. The business at hand was some house-keeping but included the passing of two MPR Resolutions:

*The Third MPR Resolution of 2003 Regarding The Broad Outlines of State Policy (GBHN). This resolution formally adopts the document submitted by the PKPI regarding its aims for the next term of government as the MPR’s on account of the President’s re-election.

*The Fourth MPR Resolution of 2003 Regarding The Appointment of the President of the Republic of Indonesia. This resolution formally acknowledges the President’s re-election and stipulates that his term will begin on 11th March 2003.

*The Fifth MPR Resolution of 2003 Regarding The 2007 Legislative Elections and The 2008 MPR General Session. This resolution mandates the government to hold elections by June 2007 and an MPR General Session in March 2008.

The other housekeeping matter was conducted by Matori, Basofi, and the other Vice Chairmen of the MPR Hartono, Nyoman Suwisma, Alex Litaay, Mario Carrascalao, and Edwin Soeryadjaya. They went around first to Ginandjar’s personal residence, now that he is no longer minister of foreign affairs and then to the Vice Presidential Palace to verify the candidacies of the two vice presidential candidates.
It's on.

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As Matori announced that he had completed verification of both Sumarlin and Ginandjar’s vice presidential candidacies, the MPR Delegates had gone into yet another round of counting votes.

Looking at how the votes were lining up, Harsudiono hoped that he could retain all 576 votes in the MPR that had secured the President’s re-election. Akbar Tandjung and his supporters, however, will be voting for Ginandjar in the vice presidential elections in order to remain undercover. Hamzah Haz had met again with Zarkasih Nur and the PPP’s MPR Delegation. This all-but confirmed his return to the coalition and somewhat compensated for Akbar and his supporters’ votes.
Let's hope that the Group Delegates and Regional Delegates members would vote Sumarlin's way. Try still needs him to keep the homefront secure to fight Malaysia, Australia, and China at the same time.
On Anteve’s Cakrawala News Program, Sarwono made an appeal to MPR Delegates that given the President’s victory last night, the President should be given the opportunity to have the best possible start for his new term by electing the vice presidential candidate of his choosing. Sarwono reminded that 5 years ago, Sumarlin had been elected vice president on such sentiments and he hopes that that could be the case. The PKPB’s Fadli Zon was not about to let Sarwono off the hook, however. Appearing on the same show at the same time, he said that 5 years ago there was an economic crisis and that the MPR has chosen to let the President have the Vice President of his choosing. This time however, with the economic situation being favorable, the MPR can and should be given the opportunity to have a more considered choice for vice president.
Let the Garuda soar, Zonk. No more "resting on the laurels" for Indonesia.

Elsewhere, at a press conference at the Borobudur Hotel where the Group Delegates were staying, Amien Rais declared that he and the MPR Delegates he control will be casting their votes for Ginandjar at the vice presidential election. When asked whether that meant that Amien will be on the “same side as the Soehartoists”, Amien said that this was not the case because he will be voting for Ginandjar not for Tutut Soeharto.
Clever Amien, as always, as expected from him.

The day ended with Ginandjar appearing on RCTI. In his major second interview of the day. Ginandjar spoke confidently about his candidacy for vice president. When asked what kind of a partnership he would have with the President as vice president, Ginandjar replied that it will be the “tried and proven” partnership which he had with the President when he was minister of foreign affairs. Ginandjar was also asked whether he will focus on foreign policy if he was elected as vice president.

“It will be for the President to decide what my area of focus should be”, said Ginandjar “But I’m ready for all possibilities, if he wants me to have the same area of focus as Vice President Sumarlin, which is economic policy, I’m ready too. I after all have experience as Minister of National Development Planning, if he wants the same arrangement that he has now with Vice President Sumarlin, I’m more than ready.”
.....

Ah well, Try still has Sri Mulyani to back him up in case Try's stuck with Ginandjar. She's Sumarlin's protege after all....

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While Ginandjar and his supporters tried to boost his vice presidential candidacy, Sumarlin took advantage of his incumbency even though there were only less than 24 hours left in his term. That evening, he joined the President at the Presidential Palace to welcome some guests who arrived escorted by Acting Minister of Foreign Affairs Marzuki Darusman.

Prime Minister of Thailand Thaksin Shinawatra, President of the Philippines Joseph Estrada, President of Laos Choummaly Sayasone and President of Vietnam Tran Duc Luong had bright smiles on their faces as they shook hands with Try and congratulated him on his re-election. In the hours after Try’s re-election and even though at quite short notice, the Jakarta Bloc nations, those ASEAN Nations which had banded together with Indonesia on various geopolitical issues, had expressed their determination that their representatives at Try’s inauguration should be from the highest levels.

They were not only the ones to send a high-ranking official. Arriving in private capacity even though this private capacity could not be separated from his official one was Norodom Ranariddh from Cambodia; son of King Norodom Sihanouk, President of Cambodia’s National Assembly, and the person set to challenge Prime Minister of Cambodia Hun Sen at Cambodia’s General Election in July.

After they shook hands with Try, they shook hands and then crowded around Sumarlin, talking about the mechanics of the MPR General Session and Sumarlin’s chances the next day as well as their own experiences with electoral politics. Watching on, Edi Sudrajat instructed television cameras and photographers to get as close as possible to record footage and take pictures of Sumarlin talking with leaders from the region.
The Jakarta Bloc needs to keep together after all.

Try however was waiting for one final guest, a late addition to the crowd of dignitaries that have decided to come to Jakarta. When this guest arrived, Try greeted him with a big smile.

“Prime Minister Morauta”, Try said to Prime Minister of Papua New Guinea Mekere Morauta “I’m honored that you’ve taken the time to come here.”

“Well if these folks can make it, I can too, Mr. President”, Morauta said “We’re just right next door to each other after all.”
Whelp, Costello and Reith would be fuming. PNG as the ASEAN's 11th member?

And the ones most displeased...you can already guess who would be unhappy seeing solidarity between the SE Asian nations and who would be unhappy seeing PNG's PM attending Try's inauguration.
And also Luo Gan.

Next up will be Try's inauguration and Sumarlin vs. Ginandjar for the VP's position.
Yeah. at least if Plan A fails, i hope Try would be ready to execute his Plan B, the first Female (unofficial) Vice President.
 
239: Five More Years Part 1
11th March 2003:
There were reluctant applause, respectful applause and fanatical applause but the President could see that the MPR Delegates recognized the significance of what he had done as he stepped inside the MPR Building. From having to step into the power vacuum left behind by Soeharto’s death, to barely surviving against those considered more prominent in Soeharto’s regime at the previous MPR General Session, and now being re-elected on the basis of his own record.

The President nodded in acknowledgement of the applause. He walked alongside Chairman of the MPR Matori Abdul Djalil. Behind them JB Sumarlin walked flanked by Vice Chairmen of the MPR Hartono, Basofi Sudirman, Nyoman Suwisma, Alex Litaay, Mario Carrascalao, and Edwin Soeryadjaya.

Once the President and Vice President as well as the Chairman and Vice Chairmen of the MPR had taken the positions, the national anthem played and then everyone sat down. Matori opened the MPR Session and acknowledged the presence of Prime Minister of Thailand Thaksin Shinawatra, President of the Philippines Joseph Estrada, President of Laos Choummaly Sayasone, President of Vietnam Tran Duc Luong, Prime Minister of Papua New Guinea Mekere Morauta and President of the Cambodian National Assembly Norodom Ranariddh; the President leading the applause for his foreign guests.

Matori then spoke of the session’s sole agenda: the inauguration of the President of the Republic of Indonesia before moving on to the reading of the MPR Resolution regarding the Appointment of the President of the Republic of Indonesia. It was when the resolution was read that the big moment came.

“Would you all now please stand as the President takes the oath of office”, Matori asked before continuing once everyone had stood up “I invite you now, Mr. President, to take the oath of office.”

The President stood up as his two aides-de-camp scrambled to assist him. On one side, Col. Budiman handed him his reading glasses while Col. (Navy) Marsetio handed him a booklet with text to read. Behind the President, a religious official stood and got ready to lift the Quran above the President’s head.

The President looked around the MPR Building to take in the sight for a few seconds. At the VIP seats, he could see First Lady Tuti Setiawati looking on with pride. In the row behind her, all of the President’s children and childrens-in-law had gathered. The President was most happy to see that his sons Maj. (Police) Firman Santyabudi and Capt. Kunto Arief Wibowo, both stationed outside of Jakarta, had managed to get leave from their superior officers so that they could attend the inauguration.

From where the President stood he could see Chairwoman of the PKPB Tutut Soeharto. She looked very well-dressed and the President wondered for a second whether that what she intended to wear had she been elected. Tutut looked expressionless while elsewhere among the MPR Delegates, Chairwoman of the PNI Megawati Soekarnoputri was studiously avoiding to look at the President.


Bismillahirohmanirohim.

As the President-elect, based on The Fourth MPR Resolution of 2003 Regarding The Appointment of the President of the Republic of Indonesia, in accordance with Article 9 of the Constitution, before assuming the office of President, I shall conduct my constitutional duty of reciting the Presidential Oath of Office in accordance to the Islamic faith which I hold, which reads as follows:

‘In the name of God, I swear that I will fulfill the responsibilities of the President of the Republic of Indonesia as best and as justly as I can; Holding true to the Constitution and executing its laws and regulations as purely as I can and being of service to the Nation”.

There was silence in the MPR Building as the President handed back his text and his glasses to his aides-de-camp.

A table was set up in front of the chairman and vice chairmen of the MPR’s table and now the President was invited to stand on one side of it while Matori and the other vice chairmen stood on the other; more housekeeping being done. Matori handed the President folders containing the MPR Resolutions on the GBHN, the Appointment of the President of the Republic of Indonesia, and the 2007 Legislative Elections and the 2008 MPR General Session. The President and Matori then both signed a Minutes of the Ceremony which certified that the President has taken his oath. This document was then handed to the President who in turn handed it to his aides-de-camp much as he did with the MPR Resolutions.

“Is there anything else, Mr. Chairman?” asked the President.

“That’ll be all, Mr. President”, Matori replied with a smile “And now I’d like to congratulate you on your re-election and inauguration…”

The President shook hands with Matori and the other vice chairmen of the MPR to applause and cheers from the MPR Delegates. Hartono forced a smile while Alex Litaay’s expression was stony when the President shook their hands.

The President and the chairman and vice chairmen of the MPR returned to their seats as Matori took to the microphone again.

“Honorable MPR Delegates, Honorable Guests, and People of Indonesia”, he began “It is my honor to present to you Gen. (Ret.) Try Sutrisno, the President of the Republic of Indonesia.”

There was another round of applause as the PKPI stood up, the PPP stood up and then the other delegations, with varying enthusiasm, and those present joined in a standing ovation. The President stood up from his seat and bowed in various directions.

---
Tripoli, Libya…

The magic of satellite television is that it could broadcast images from all around the world including, in this instance, Indonesia. Brotherly Leader Muammar Gaddafi watched as Indonesia’s Try Sutrisno bowed in acknowledgment of the cheers thrown his way. But Gaddafi was more interested in the reaction of the person watching the television with him.

“Well, Brother Hasan, you have your opponent”, Gaddafi said.

Hasan Di Tiro looked at Try’s smile.

“Not just my opponent…ours…the GAM, the OPM, and the FRETILIN”, Hasan said “And it will be to him first and foremost that we together will show that Indonesia is the nation that never was.”

---
This was one giant chapter but I broke it into two. The last day of the MPR General Session is usually busy enough without all the politicking because there’s the inauguration of the president, the VP Election, and the inauguration of the VP to get through.

And once again I present to you Inauguration Day, Indonesian style.

This will be Try’s 3rd term overall but will be his 2nd full one. His 1st term was just the 100 something days left in Soeharto’s 1993-1998 term.

Hasan Di Tiro’s quote is based on https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/26058/PS002.pdf p.21 of the pdf file/p.7 of the book.
 
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Tripoli, Libya…

The magic of satellite television is that it could broadcast images from all around the world including, in this instance, Indonesia. Brotherly Leader Muammar Gaddafi watched as Indonesia’s Try Sutrisno bowed in acknowledgment of the cheers thrown his way. But Gaddafi was more interested in the reaction of the person watching the television with him.

“Well, Brother Hasan, you have your opponent”, Gaddafi said.

Hasan Di Tiro looked at Try’s smile.

“Not just my opponent…ours…the GAM, the OPM, and the FRETILIN”, Hasan said “And it will be to him first and foremost that we together will show that Indonesia is the nation that never was.”
Finally

The race for RI-2 would be interesting.
 
From where the President stood he could see Chairwoman of the PKPB Tutut Soeharto. She looked very well-dressed and the President wondered for a second whether that what she intended to wear had she been elected. Tutut looked expressionless while elsewhere among the MPR Delegates, Chairwoman of the PNI Megawati Soekarnoputri was studiously avoiding to look at the President.
Let's be honest, we are talking about a Soeharto here, she would have an even grander clothes to wear in a theoretical inauguration of her for the presidency...
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Tripoli, Libya…

The magic of satellite television is that it could broadcast images from all around the world including, in this instance, Indonesia. Brotherly Leader Muammar Gaddafi watched as Indonesia’s Try Sutrisno bowed in acknowledgment of the cheers thrown his way. But Gaddafi was more interested in the reaction of the person watching the television with him.

“Well, Brother Hasan, you have your opponent”, Gaddafi said.

Hasan Di Tiro looked at Try’s smile.

“Not just my opponent…ours…the GAM, the OPM, and the FRETILIN”, Hasan said “And it will be to him first and foremost that we together will show that Indonesia is the nation that never was.”

---
This was one giant chapter but I broke it into two. The last day of the MPR General Session is usually busy enough without all the politicking because there’s the inauguration of the president, the VP Election, and the inauguration of the VP to get through.

And once again I present to you Inauguration Day, Indonesian style.

This will be Try’s 3rd term overall but will be his 2nd full one. His 1st term was just the 100 something days left in Soeharto’s 1993-1998 term.

Hasan Di Tiro’s quote is based on https://www.files.ethz.ch/isn/26058/PS002.pdf p.21 of the pdf file/p.7 of the book.
Well, do wonder whether the fact that any plans they would like to do has to depend on whether Try get his presidency...
 
I’m a slow burn kind of guy but stick with me on this one. There’s a lot of clues and signs scattered all over the place

Well, do wonder whether the fact that any plans they would like to do has to depend on whether Try get his presidency...
I think they would’ve gone ahead regardless of who was elected. They have been dormant during the previous term but are very much keen to take their shot.
 
Edi’s eyes widened. He summoned his aide-de-camp, Lt. Col. Gatot Nurmantyo and asked him to bring a folder. Some minutes later Gatot returned with a folder. Edi flicked through some pages then handed Try a piece of paper.
Benefits of re-reading, you never knew what would hit you when you read things that you've overlooked on the first time reading it lol
 
The next few years are going to be interesting in TTL--especially since one of the worst disasters in Indonesian (not to mention Indian Ocean) history is occurring in December of 2004...

Congrats on Try for winning, BTW, and keep it up...
 
240: Five More Years Part 2
11th March 2003:
“Five years is a timeframe that is just the right amount. It is not long enough for this government and this nation so solve all of its problems and yet it is not short enough that progress is impossible. Five years ago, we were facing an economic and financial crisis that threatened to undo the development and growth we have undertaken for three decades. In the past five years, not only did we manage to overcome this crisis, we have managed to reach a point where are we deemed to be one of the world’s foremost emerging economies.

I speak of this timeframe to highlight what is possible for this nation if it is willing to believe in itself, put in the effort and hard work and be willing to part ways with bad habits. For if in five years we are able to go from a nation in an economic and financial crisis to one of the world’s foremost emerging economies, imagine where we can be five years from now when our starting point is not one of economic crisis.”

In his inaugural address, President Try Sutrisno went on to thank the MPR for entrusting him with another term of government and promised to use his new mandate well; ending his speech by calling on the nation to “get back to work and get on with the work” just as he himself will get back to work and get on with the work.

When the MPR Delegates and those present had finished applauding and the President had returned to his seat, it was up to Chairman of the MPR Matori Abdul Djalil to bring the ceremony to a close and declare the MPR to be in recess until that afternoon when it will be electing the vice president.

At the MPR’s VIP Room, the President huddled with Vice President JB Sumarlin, Matori, Vice Chairman of the MPR Basofi Sudirman, Chairman of the PKPI’s MPR Delegation Harsudiono Hartas, and Chairman of the PPP’s MPR Delegation Zarkasih Nur.

“Ginandjar’s candidacy is just a ploy for the Chairwoman of the PKPB to have influence in the current term of government”, the President declared “She’s failed to be elected president so she’s now resorting for the next best thing: having a vice president that she has help to elect. If for whatever reason Ginandjar gets elected vice president, I might as well invite Tutut to come and sit at cabinet meetings.”

Harsudiono that as of that moment they have 421 votes for Sumarlin (All 215 votes from the PKPI, all 113 from ABRI and 93 votes from the PPP). The vote count from the Regional Delegates will need to be revised because even though the strong pro-Try supporters there are also voting for Sumarlin there are a lot of “We promised only to vote for Try but not Sumarlin” whether for religious or other reasons. The same goes with the vote count from the Group Delegates where the story from their hotel is that Ginandjar is trying to portray himself as a non-partisan.

“I think right now the priority in those two delegations is make sure that we're able to hold the strong Try-Sumarlin and those inclined towards Try-Sumarlin” Sumarlin said “The rest we just have to scrap and scrounge for because there isn’t much time left.”

The President had an impressed smile; deep in his heart, Sumarlin still wants the job.

“You may do as the Vice President has asked”, the President said to the others huddled around him.

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The first stop for the President after his inauguration was Halim Perdanakusuma Airport to see off his guests Prime Minister of Thailand Thaksin Shinawatra, President of the Philippines Joseph Estrada, President of Laos Choummaly Sayasone, President of Vietnam Tran Duc Luong, Prime Minister of Papua New Guinea Mekere Morauta and President of the Cambodian National Assembly Norodom Ranariddh as they headed out.

There was a photo-op and a joint press conference. When asked what he thought about Try’s re-election and inauguration, Estrada said that the next few years will be interesting as far as the way ASEAN navigates itself in the multipolar world was concerned. Not to be outdone, Thaksin said that ASEAN is already going to have a big year pointing to the ASEAN Summit which will be held in Indonesia and the APEC Summit which will be held in Thailand, both summits being held in October.

After the last aircraft had took off, the President disappeared into the Presidential Car with First Lady Tuti Setiawati and departed back for the Presidential Palace to help secure his vice president’s re-election.

---
While the President went to Halim, Sumarlin and an entourage drove from the MPR Building to the Jakarta Stock Exchange Building near the Artha Graha Shopping Center There, with stockbrockers applauding him when he arrived, Sumarlin inspected the goings-on at the stock market.

Sumarlin’s entourage consisted of Minister of Economics and National Development Planning Dorodjatun Kuntjoro-Jakti, Minister of Finance Mar’ie Muhammad, Governor of BI Boediono, Junior Minister of Finance Bambang Subianto, and Head of the Stock Market Supervisory Agency (BAPEPAM) Noor Fuad.

But it would be Minister of Industry Siswono Yudohusodo and Minister of Trade Anthony Salim that got the most attention. The two already got laughs from the press following them when they asked for the data regarding the stock prices of publicly listed companies owned by Aburizal Bakrie, businessman and Ginandjar Kartasasmita’s main supporter from the Group Delegates, and then commenting loudly “His stock prices are higher than 5 years ago, he’s doing all right, what’s his grievance against the Government?”

As Sumarlin continued his walkabout, Siswono and Anthony got serious when they were asked about Ginandjar’s candidacy for vice presidency. Siswono spoke first.

“I don’t have any doubts about Pak Ginandjar’s competence” said Siswono “But my doubts are with the main supporters of his candidacy. How do I know this is not just some scheme by those whose candidate was not elected to the presidency yesterday to try to have a stake in the government over the next 5 years by having a candidate elected to the vice presidency? We’re trying to do something different in the way business is done and it’s not perfect and there’s still a long way to go but the solution is not to go back to the old way of doing business. President Try said in his inaugural address we have to let go of bad habits if we want to move forward, I’d say this is one of those bad habits.”

“Suppose that business owners had close ties with political leaders and this helps their business along, and I’ll be the first to admit that my father was guilty of this”, Anthony began “For me, my thinking is what’s done is done but that at the same time, we have to consider such practices to be the past. We need to think innovatively and be more market-oriented. And if we want what’s in the past to remain the past, I think the right step is to make sure that it’s not just our President that’s re-elected but the Vice President as well.”

“Are you guys running for vice president or something?” asked Sumarlin, tapping Siswono and Anthony on their shoulders as he walked past behind them.

---
The Group Delegates’ Ginandjar Kartasasmita and Amien Rais had lunch with Chairwoman of the PNI Megawati Soekarnoputri and Taufiq Kiemas. Ginandjar was really focusing on the fact that his father had been a member of the old PNI in his bid to appeal for Megawati’s support.

For all their effort to convince Megawati to throw the PNI’s support behind Ginandjar’s candidacy as vice president, Megawati was polite but did not commit to doing anything. Then having frustrated Ginandjar and Amien Rais with her non-commitment, Megawati would proceed to confuse the PNI Delegation by telling them that she “no longer has heart to tell them to abstain” but that she herself was going home to watch the end of the MPR General Session on television.

---
There was indeed not much time to lobby and count for votes. Ginandjar and Amien Rais only had time to return to their hotel when they already had to hop on their bus and head to the MPR Building.

With 998 MPR Delegates now gathered (other than Megawati, Amirul Isnaeni from the ABRI Delegation was still in hospital and had not forced himself out of bed to vote as in the Presidential Elections), Matori opened the MPR Session. He then very briskly and efficiently announced the two vice presidential candidates’ and, having determined that there were no further candidates, instructed for the voting to go ahead.

As the voting got underway, Harsudiono and Edi Sudrajat looked around at the various delegations as though trying to count with their eyes which MPR Delegate might be voting for which candidate. After a while they gave up and sat down.

“It’s all about how many will vote for Sumarlin after they have voted for Try now”, Harsudiono said.

Chairwoman of the PKPB Tutut Soeharto watched proceedings. She looked a lot calmer than when her name was on the ballot but nevertheless looked on with interest at what was going on.

---
As the count began, the President paced about nervously at the Presidential Palace. He was still in his suit and tie just at First Lady Tuti Setiawati was still in her kebaya and was having her make up retouched. They still had an event to attend later that night; the inauguration of the vice president.

---
Former Vice President Sudharmono was expressionless as the count proceeded. After attending the President’s inauguration earlier in the day, he was back again to see if his protégé would be able to rise to the vice presidency the way he did.

The room was breathless. Unlike the Presidential Elections, where there was a gap in the votes gained by the President, Tutut and the abstentions, the Vice Presidential Elections was a tight race. When Ginandjar’s votes gathered momentum, Sumarlin’s would catch up. When Sumarlin’s votes gathered momentum, Ginandjar’s would give a good chase.

Ginandjar was fidgeting. He had been Head of the BKPM, Junior Minister of Increasing Consumption of Domestically Produced Goods, Minister of Mining and Energy, Minister of National Development Planning, Minister of Information, Post, and Telecommunications, and Minister of Foreign Affairs…the time had come for the next step.

Next to Ginandjar, Aburizal Bakrie was keeping a tally and noting how many votes Ginandjar had gotten.

“Will you look at that”, Aburizal said impressed “402 votes and counting, you just got more votes than Tutut Soeharto's best performance in the Presidential Elections.”

But Sumarlin’s votes began to break away again and this time, Ginandjar’s votes began to struggle to keep up. And just as Ginandjar got a nice streak of votes going…

“The count is over!” declared the counter.

---
At the Vice Presidential Palace, Sumarlin had also kept a tally, carefully noting how many votes he had gotten after a batch of 5, 10, 15 and so on. When the vote counting was finished, Sumarlin was quick to note down how many votes he got. After a deep breath, he handed his tally over to Second Lady Sudarmi Sumarlin who looked at it briefly and then gave her husband a big hug.

---
The votes were brought up to Matori and he studied it as he waited for the MPR Delegates to silent themselves.

“The votes have been counted, tallied and confirmed to be correct by the scrutineers”, Matori announced “The results are as follows…”

A smile appeared on Matori’s face.

“First and foremost, I’m happy to announce that there are no abstentions”, he said.

At which point the room broke into universal applause and cheers after the abstentions in the Presidential Elections. The PNI delegations looked abashed as people from the PKPI and the PKPB delegations walked over to shake their hands. Matori waited until the room was quiet again.

“And now for the results”, Matori said “With 456 votes, Ir. Mshl. (Ret.) Ginandjar Kartasasmita.”

There was a collective gasp by the MPR at the amount of votes Ginandjar had gotten before it broke into an impressed applause. Chairman of the PKPB’s MPR Delegation Prabowo Subianto wondered whether the PKPB should have nominated Ginandjar instead. Ginandjar himself stood in his seat and bowed in the direction of the applause.

Sudharmono’s disappointment for his protégé was somewhat cushioned when hearing the amount of votes he got. He was certain that this would not be Ginandjar’s end...

“With 542 votes, Prof. Drs. JB Sumarlin M.A., Ph.D,”, declared Matori to more applause this time led by the PKPI delegation “As such Prof. Drs. JB Sumarlin M.A., Ph.D has gained a majority of the votes in the MPR.”

Now comes the big moment.

“And now, in accordance with the duties entrusted to the MPR in our Constitution”, Matori began “I hereby declare Prof. Drs. JB Sumarlin M.A., Ph.D elected Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia for the term 2003-2008!”

The MPR moved quickly to pass the Sixth MPR Resolution of 2003 Regarding The Appointment of the Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia which formally acknowledges the Vice President’s re-election and stipulates that his term will begin that very day.

The MPR broke up again for just one final recess and its delegates arrived back at their hotels just in time for Maghrib Prayer followed by dinner and departure back for the MPR Building for Sumarlin’s inauguration. By the time they had arrived back at the MPR Building, a sense of relief was dawning on the MPR Delegates because the MPR General Session was coming to an end, regardless of who they had supported in the Presidential Elections. Setting time aside for a short television interview, Vice Chairman of the MPR Hartono said that it had been “a hectic 11 days” for everybody.

It was primetime television time when the President once again made his entrance into the MPR Building. Much as his own inauguration this morning, Matori walked alongside him. The attention and the applause, however, was directed behind them. There were Basofi, Hartono and the other Vice Chairmen of the MPR Nyoman Suwisma, Alex Litaay, Mario Carrascalao, and Edwin Soeryadjaya and walking in the middle of them was Sumarlin nodding and waving at the applause coming his way.

---
When the President arrived back at the Presidential Palace, the Palace’s television screens were still playing news coverage of Sumarlin’s inauguration, the moment he took his oath of office for the second time as vice president, highlights from his inaugural address, and the moment Matori brought the 2003 MPR General Session to a close with the bang of a gavel.

“Is he already here?” the President asked when he saw Military Secretary Saurip Kadi.

“He is, Mr. President”, replied Saurip.

The President went to a room in the Presidential Palace where his guest was waiting. When he appeared at the door, his guest, for all his elderly infirmities, rose up and gave a salute.

“I congratulate you and the Vice President on your respective re-elections and wish the best for the both of you in the next 5 years”, said Former Commander of ABRI Benny Moerdani.

Pak Benny, please have a seat…you don’t have to stand up to greet me”, the President said.

The two talked about each other’s health before getting to the point of the matter. Benny said that while the President attended Sumarlin’s inauguration, Chief of BAKIN Ari Sudewo had kept him company to brief him about the President’s “concerns” when it comes to strategical matters.

“What do you think, Pak Benny?” asked the President.

“Your summary of Indonesia’s strategic dilemma is correct, Mr. President” Benny said “China is the main concern here; its goal of increasing its influence in Southeast Asia clashes with our desire to be more assertive and take a more obvious leadership role in the region. And yet at the same time, you feel unsafe turning your back on Australia given your run-ins with them recently.”

“I don’t have a problem with the Aussies”, the President “I just don’t know what else I can do to convince them that we’re not a threat.”

“Well, Mr. President, you’re buying weapons left and right from to the point that the next 2-3 years are looking like weapons harvest”, Benny said “Would you consider suspending your weapons procurement?”

The President was silent.

“I thought so” Benny said “What we can do in addition of thinking how we can convince people we’re not a threat is also consider how they can be threat to us. The Aussies and the Chinese have figured out they need each other economically. Australia needs a market for its coal, China’s an emerging economy with a big energy demand. When they figure out they have certain common geopolitical interests with each other, who you think’s going to suffer from that?”

“You’re saying “when” not “if””, the President replied.

“Our economy’s going to get bigger, we’re going to strengthen ABRI, we’re going to be more assertive”, Benny explained “That means we’ll be a bigger pain in the ass for China and Australia gets more anxious. How much longer before they realize that the thing that needs to get out of the way if China wants to increase in influence in Southeast Asia and the thing on Australia’s doorstep that’s continually strengthening its military are one and the same?”

The President nodded in agreement at this.

“Did the Chief of BAKIN also talk about…” the President began and then trailed off.

“That the OPM and GAM are on the move again? Yes, he did”, Benny replied.

“What do you make of that?” asked the President.

“That the OPM are hiding somewhere in the vastness of Oceania and raising funds…that the GAM are being trained by the Libyans again…” Benny said almost thinking to himself “But I am surprised you don’t have much on the FRETILIN’s activities.”

“Not much indeed, that’s part of the reason why I wanted diplomatic relations with Portugal, so we can set up an embassy in Lisbon and start having surveillance of their activities in Portugal and in Lusophonic Africa”, said the President “They still have a presence in East Timor of course. They have been dormant and have not done anything out of the ordinary but they haven’t come down from the mountains yet to surrender and I guess I’ve just let things…be.”

“I would keep an extra eye on FRETILIN, Mr. President. While you are aware of their presence here in Indonesia, pay close attention to them, perhaps their movements will tell you something.” ” said Benny “They’re dormant here in this archipelago but not out there, I can assure you. Jose Ramos Horta runs a government-in-exile in New Zealand and you’ve exiled Xanana Gusmao to South Africa in 1999 but he now roams around freely at the behest of Nelson Mandela."

The President looked at the floor in front of him.

“What must I do to handle China and Australia?” asked the President “And how much longer will the separatist movements be dormant given that the intelligence that they are moving and preparing something?”

Benny looked at the President.

“Such are the riddles which you must solve, Mr. President, but the very least you are asking the right questions” Benny said “As they say, uneasy is the head that wears a crown."

---
And that’s it for the MPR General Session for another 5 years, ladies and gents. It took about 3-4 months to cover these 11 days but the next chapters should begin flow faster again.

We have Siswono and Anthony Salim acting as Sumarlin’s “bodyguards” here. In a way they symbolize the presence of “Indigenous Indonesian” and “Chinese Indonesian” businessmen in Try’s government.

Anthony Salim being someone who prefers to establish competitive businesses instead of using close relationships with those in power for business survival like his father is actually based on OTL (https://www.google.co.id/books/edit...suharto+children&pg=PA114&printsec=frontcover check out the final line of p.113 and the first paragraph of p.114)

I wanted to have Ginandjar to have his moment by performing competitively against Sumarlin. He’s definitely one guy that I’m surprised has not taken the next step to the presidency or VP’s position based on his extensive experience.

I considered a lot of potential VPs for Try so much so that I begin to wonder if this is what presidential candidates feel like when choosing their VP candidate. Other than Sumarlin, I considered Ginandjar, Wismoyo, Harmoko, Edi Sudrajat, Sarwono Kusumaatmadja, Siswono Yudohusodo, Matori Abdul Djalil, and Meutia Hatta before returning to Sumarlin.

And that's my last chapter for the year, ladies and gents.
 
Thank you for your hard work.
Itmo, it'll be fun to see Ginandjar get elected to something higher at some point.Maybe it'll become easier if/when Try has retired.
 
Thank you for your hard work.
Itmo, it'll be fun to see Ginandjar get elected to something higher at some point.Maybe it'll become easier if/when Try has retired.
Agree....but I actually think the biggest obstacle for that to really happen right now is Tutut....perhaps once Tutut out of the way, we could see a Ginandjar-Akbar ticket that could have potential to beat Try's ticket..(keep in mind the year the next election would be held could mean that there is a potential for a curbstomp...)
 
Thank you for your hard work.
Itmo, it'll be fun to see Ginandjar get elected to something higher at some point.Maybe it'll become easier if/when Try has retired.
We'll see. For the moment at this point in time, there are no limits to presidential terms. But Ginandjar probably has to start considering his age. He turns 62 in 2003. Try despite his youthful looks is 67.

Agree....but I actually think the biggest obstacle for that to really happen right now is Tutut....perhaps once Tutut out of the way, we could see a Ginandjar-Akbar ticket that could have potential to beat Try's ticket..(keep in mind the year the next election would be held could mean that there is a potential for a curbstomp...)
You're trying to peek inside my head lol. But at this time, all things are possible.

But if we look at this from a creative standpoint, for the 2003 MPR General Session I considered Try vs. Ginandjar where Ginandjar would be backed by Tutut's PKPB with Hartono as the VP Candidate. I didn't realize though that Try and Ginandjar would make such a good team.

I considered also Try vs. Hartono with Tutut controlling Hartono from behind the scenes. In OTL, Try and Hartono did not have a good relationship. As a major general, Hartono said that he took his orders from Soeharto rather than from Try as the Commander of ABRI. Try retaliated by trying to sideline Hartono. (https://www.google.co.id/books/edit...Sutrisno+Hartono&pg=PA155&printsec=frontcover).

In OTL, Hartono of course carried the flag for Soeharto even after Soeharto's fall from power, he formed the OTL's PKPB and became its chairman and (in)famously took part in the 2004 Legislative Elections asking the people to be Soeharto's "henchmen". So there was a strong case for Hartono there.
 
Thank you for the chapters and see you next year!

I feel like, in a way, Tutut unknowingly dodged a bullet. If she won the presidency only to get struck by a coalition of separatist groups not long after her inauguration, it would be an extremely bad look for her since it would seem like the rebels were actively waiting for the ex-ABRI Try to fall down the political ladder. Plus, having them strike right after she won would sway the Indonesian public to a more directly military-oriented government, diminishing the Cendana Family's political standing by quite a bit. Of course, she might be able to handle the situation correctly with inputs from her admittedly capable list of cronies, but the "can the non-ABRI president quell a rebellion specifically saved up for her" question that everyone would hang over her head like a Sword of Damocles would definitely frustrate her to a possible point of breaking (especially since you can't quell separatists with money alone).
 
11th March 2003:

It was primetime television time when the President once again made his entrance into the MPR Building. Much as his own inauguration this morning, Matori walked alongside him. The attention and the applause, however, was directed behind them. There were Basofi, Hartono and the other Vice Chairmen of the MPR Nyoman Suwisma, Alex Litaay, Mario Carrascalao, and Edwin Soeryadjaya and walking in the middle of them was Sumarlin nodding and waving at the applause coming his way.

---
When the President arrived back at the Presidential Palace, the Palace’s television screens were still playing news coverage of Sumarlin’s inauguration, the moment he took his oath of office for the second time as vice president, highlights from his inaugural address, and the moment Matori brought the 2003 MPR General Session to a close with the bang of a gavel.
I wonder a bit about the second inauguration of Sumarlin because just now, my mind flashed back to this moment

11th March 1998

The President put in another appearance at the MPR when it reassembled that evening; the sole agenda being the inauguration of the Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia. Sumarlin, being a Catholic, took his oath of office with his left hand on a Bible and his right hand pointed up. Vice presidents were allowed an inaugural address in Indonesian politics but all of them used it to pledge their loyalty to the President and their gratefulness for being considered as vice president. Sumarlin was no different.
Hopefully this time around, Sumarlin's address would be a more independent one since it's clear that Try needs Sumarlin more than Soeharto need his VPs.

And that's my last chapter for the year, ladies and gents.
Thanks for this suspenseful arc right until the end. Megawati really did fought cleverly on this, but Akbar, Gus Dur, and Sarwono managed to save the day.

Ginanjar and Bambang really playing with the wrong crowd there....

My hopes for the next term (in the next year, 2024, ofc) is for Try to focus more on maritime and rail infrastructures. And about railways, maybe some 'cleaning up' can be done to free up the reused lines, or to just taking the rails beneath to bolster the existing lines. Would love to see a reimplementation of tram lines. Also, N-250 can be mass-produced too to improve connections in Papua and Kalimantan.
 
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Great updates. One of the best updates ITTL.

ITTL Try already walked his own path and not the path of the previous presidents before him and I think this election was merely the demonstration of his own path fruits, not being dictated by former voices echoing through PKPB, Tutut, Mega and so on.

I foresee obviously Ghadaffi and 2004 Tsunami as the main challenges for this new term.

Besides you have the new CCP secretary, the burmese, the roos and kiwis somehow uneasy watching how Port Moresby looks forward to Jakarta and many other things, outside and inside Indonesia.

But also Try has a stronger back and more allies or friends, depending the point of view.

Waiting for more updates, whenever they come. Found many different things but they are harmoniously on sync and well written. Thank you very much for TTL.
 
Tutut unknowingly dodged a bullet
But she also lucked out of a gold mine that is the economic growth of the next 5 years will be

In OTL former president SBY are still popular till today for a lot of people because of how they remember the massive economic growth in middle to late 2000s
 
keep in mind the year the next election would be held could mean that there is a potential for a curbstomp
Weirdly enough iirc Indonesia's economic growth only got the effects of "that" event in 2009, 2007-2008 if I'm not wrong we were still doing pretty well so finger crossed the boyz gonna win BIG 😎

Lots of tears will drop close to the election though 🥲
 
I wonder a bit about the second inauguration of Sumarlin because just now, my mind flashed back to this moment


Hopefully this time around, Sumarlin's address would be a more independent one since it's clear that Try needs Sumarlin more than Soeharto need his VPs.
OOC, I did hit a writer's block trying to figure out what Try and Sumarlin were going to say in their inaugurations. The only think I could think of for Try was "get back to work, get on with the work" and then I completely drew a blank for Sumarlin hahahaha. But I'll take this opportunity to talk about Try and Sumarlin's relationship.

-I agree that Try needs Sumarlin. At first because Try needs a credible figure to show everybody he's serious about handling the Asian Financial Crisis and then once he got over the crisis, because Try realizes he can only do what he's doing in foreign policy and defense because the economy is strong.

-I always imagined Try giving Sumarlin something real to do as VP as his reaction to Soeharto never giving him something substantial to do. In OTL, it got to a point where when Soeharto became ill in November 1997 (this TL's POD if things were not bad), the person Soeharto sent a summit in December 1997 was Minister of Foreign Affairs Ali Alatas rather than Try.

-It's difficult to imagine Sumarlin trying to pursue a more independent line from Try for a few reasons.
One, Sumarlin does have a loyal streak in him. In OTL, he did not become one of those Soeharto regime guys who kept their distance and joined in the Soeharto-bashing after Soeharto fell from power.

Second, economists that become the Berkeley Mafia (of which Sumarlin is one) are not known to be political players. So as influential as they were with Soeharto in OTL, their conventional economic policies had to live side by side with KKN, Habibie's strategic industries, cronyism, etc.. This dynamic is somewhat repeated with Try-Sumarlin's relationship where Sumarlin's economic advice has to live side by side with Habibie's strategic industries (which has to make itself more efficient but is far away from being closed down) and of course, the increased defense spending. Of course, this is part of the reason why Try trusts Sumarlin and gives him substantial responsibilities.

Third, and as said earlier Sumarlin has something substantial thing to do as VP.

-That said, even though Sumarlin is and will be loyal to the President. He is not beyond voicing his own opinion and sees himself as playing what he considers to be an important role:

“If your speech a few weeks back about military spending and foreign policy not exceeding present economic capacity is any indication, you’re worried the President might go overboard with the assertive foreign policy or the military spending or getting into conflict somewhere”, countered Sarwono perhaps a little forcefully “And somewhere in the back of your mind, the prospect of carrying on doesn’t seem so bad because he listens to you and you can act as his brakes if you think what he’s doing in foreign policy or defense is going to jeopardize the economy.”

Sumarlin chuckled and shook his head.

“You’ve said it”, Sumarlin said with the tone someone would have when another person have said out loud what they’ve been thinking.
From Sumarlin's conversation with Sarwono and Siswono on 19th August 2002.

But she also lucked out of a gold mine that is the economic growth of the next 5 years will be

Weirdly enough iirc Indonesia's economic growth only got the effects of "that" event in 2009, 2007-2008 if I'm not wrong we were still doing pretty well so finger crossed the boyz gonna win BIG 😎
I think economic situation-wise, the thing that will be different in the next 5 years as compared to OTL are:
-No Iraq War because in ITTL, we're days away from the US and its Coalition conducting a ground invasion of Yugoslavia. (I'm looking around AH.com for "WI no Iraq War" TLs to see what effect this has on oil prices.
-Indonesia being an additional "giant emerging economy" looking around for commodities to fuel its economic growth. We've already seen that it imports cotton from Uzbekistan, phosphate from Togo, and asphalt from Trinidad and Tobago. I imagine the prices of commodities will rise earlier than in OTL with all of its consequences.
 
-It's difficult to imagine Sumarlin trying to pursue a more independent line from Try for a few reasons.
One, Sumarlin does have a loyal streak in him. In OTL, he did not become one of those Soeharto regime guys who kept their distance and joined in the Soeharto-bashing after Soeharto fell from power.

Second, economists that become the Berkeley Mafia (of which Sumarlin is one) are not known to be political players. So as influential as they were with Soeharto in OTL, their conventional economic policies had to live side by side with KKN, Habibie's strategic industries, cronyism, etc.. This dynamic is somewhat repeated with Try-Sumarlin's relationship where Sumarlin's economic advice has to live side by side with Habibie's strategic industries (which has to make itself more efficient but is far away from being closed down) and of course, the increased defense spending. Of course, this is part of the reason why Try trusts Sumarlin and gives him substantial responsibilities.

Third, and as said earlier Sumarlin has something substantial thing to do as VP.
Well, fair enough for an answer since i actually give you a wrong impression (you thought that i thought that Sumarlin's address would be that "he must be more independent than beholden to Try", rather than what i've actually thought) because i didn't pointed the correct thing in your post back then.

11th March 1998

The President put in another appearance at the MPR when it reassembled that evening; the sole agenda being the inauguration of the Vice President of the Republic of Indonesia. Sumarlin, being a Catholic, took his oath of office with his left hand on a Bible and his right hand pointed up. Vice presidents were allowed an inaugural address in Indonesian politics but all of them used it to pledge their loyalty to the President and their gratefulness for being considered as vice president. Sumarlin was no different.
And flashed forward because when i re-read this again, my mind connects this moment to this one.....

7th April 2002:
President Try Sutrisno tonight attended a special dinner at Balai Kartini attended by all of the PKPI’s current DPR Members both those who will retire at the end of the current term and those who will be running for re-election. First and foremost among those running for re-election was none other than Chairman of the DPR Harmoko himself.

Harmoko delivered a speech on behalf of the PKPI’s DPR members but ended up drawing the ire of the crowd by coming across sycophantic, referring to the President each time by his longform title of “General (Retired) Haji Try Sutrisno”. This became particularly jarring when Harmoko’s text called for him to say “We support Try Sutrisno, we love Try Sutrisno, and we want to re-elect Try Sutrisno”.

The President did better and reminded the audience of some home truths.

“You are the PKPI, you are not Golkar”, said the President “ABRI and the civil service and all the organizations will no longer be mobilized in your favor, victory is not guaranteed, you have to go out there and earn the election victory.”
Yeah....

I didn't really know if the "pledge their loyalty to the President and their gratefulness for being considered as vice president" part of the VP address in Soeharto's era would be a bit tongue-in-cheek that it would came as sycophantic (albeit not as Harmoko's speech above, definitely), maybe Hamengkubuwono IX's and Umar Wirahadikusumah's would not so overt, but Adam Malik's, Sudharmono's, and Try's are a bit overt.

But i guess that while Sumarlin's 1998 Address is the usual one (a bit overt), now his 2003 Address would not so and instead emphasized more on continuing the partnership between Sumarlin and Try, in which maybe some reporters would call them "The Second Coming of Dwi Tunggal", just like Siswono said back then (just below your quoted post lol).....
19th August 2002:

"This nation needs what the President is doing but it also needs what you're doing to keep things balanced, Mr. Vice President", said Siswono "He's military, you're civilian. He focuses on national security, you focus on national prosperity. You two complete each other, you two have the potential of becoming a dwitunggal just like our first president and vice president ."

-That said, even though Sumarlin is and will be loyal to the President. He is not beyond voicing his own opinion and sees himself as playing what he considers to be an important role:
Yup, yup.

Hope that explains my concern properly.
 
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